Musings about the language, science, and philosophy of climate & other models
Aug 2, 22
Strange weather in the multiverse of climate
We cannot predict our weather universe but we can choose our emission multiverse
Jul 13, 22
What to expect when you’re expecting a better climate model
Irreducible uncertainties associated with internal variability and human actions limit our ability to predict long-term climate change. Higher model resolution can help, but it is not a silver bullet.
Jun 7, 22
Can we predict global warming using only statistics?
Not if it is unprecedented and nonlinear. You can't do statistics with a sample size of less than one. Science is our only hope.
May 10, 22
How to judge a model beauty contest?
Model meritocracy is a good idea, but the devil is in the details
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