Musings about the language, science, and philosophy of climate & other models
Mar 1, 23
Hurricane Fed: The New Climate Stress Test for Banks
The Fed’s new hurricane-based risk assessment is well-intentioned but poorly formulated. Since future hurricane probabilities are hard to predict, a simple storyline approach would have been better.
Aug 2, 22
Strange weather in the multiverse of climate
We cannot predict our weather universe but we can choose our emission multiverse
Jun 7, 22
Can we predict global warming using only statistics?
Not if it is unprecedented and nonlinear. You can't do statistics with a sample size of less than one. Science is our only hope.
May 10, 22
How to judge a model beauty contest?
Model meritocracy is a good idea, but the devil is in the details
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