Aug 2, 22
Strange weather in the multiverse of climate
We cannot predict our weather universe but we can choose our emission multiverse
Jul 13, 22
What to expect when you’re expecting a better climate model
Irreducible uncertainties associated with internal variability and human actions limit our ability to predict long-term climate change. Higher model resolution can help, but it is not a silver bullet.
Jun 28, 22
Climate Startups, Carbon Offsets, and Crypto
Theranos, WeWork ... Carbonos? With startups selling products that affect the planet’s health, physical checks are more important than fancy crypto. The wild west of carbon offsets needs a sheriff.
Jun 22, 22
The perils of predicting perils: (mis)calculating wet-bulb temperature
Many assumptions lurk behind climate risk assessments. Small errors in the average can mean large errors in the tail risk.
Jun 7, 22
Can we predict global warming using only statistics?
Not if it is unprecedented and nonlinear. You can't do statistics with a sample size of less than one. Science is our only hope.
To reliably track new posts, please follow using Feedly, RSS aggregators, Mastodon, or the free newsletter version of this blog on Substack. Alternatively, you can check this website every 2–3 weeks. (If you only follow me on Twitter, you may not see the blog announcements due to algorithmic ranking.) You can also download the blog posts as an eBook for offline reading.